Oil rises above US$99 on U.S. bailout hopes

The Associated Press , Singapore | Thu, 10/02/2008 12:48 PM | Business

Oil prices rose above US$99 a barrel Thursday in Asia on expectations the U.S. Congress will pass a reformulated US$700 billion financial industry bailout package this week that will help stabilize a faltering economy.

Light, sweet crude for November delivery was up 80 cents to US$99.33 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by midday in Singapore. Prices fell overnight US$2.11 to settle at US$98.53.

The U.S. Senate late Wednesday approved the rescue bill, 74-25, after adding tax breaks and a provision to raise the cap on federal deposit insurance. The House of Representatives, which rejected an earlier version of the bill Monday, will likely vote on the new version by the end of the week.

"It's probably going to be bullish in the short term if the plan is approved," said Jonathan Kornafel, Asia director for market maker Hudson Capital Energy in Singapore. "It shows we're actually doing something, which would be a reprieve for the market."

The rescue package would let the U.S. government spend billions of dollars to buy bad mortgage-related securities and other devalued assets held by troubled financial institutions, a move designed to allow frozen credit to begin flowing again and prevent a deep recession.

That is viewed as positive for the energy market because italleviates concerns about a global slump that would mean weaker demand for oil.

Recent data shows that U.S. fuel demand is falling while supplies rise.

The Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said Wednesday in its weekly report that crude stocks rose by 4.3 million barrels, or 1.5 percent, to 294.5 million barrels for the week ending Sept. 26. Analysts had expected stocks to rise or fall of 1.5 million barrels, according to a survey by energy research firm Platts.

At the same time, gasoline inventories rose by 900,000 barrels, or 0.5 percent, to 179.6 million barrels. Analysts expected stockpiles of the motor fuel to fall in the range of 1 million to 3 million barrels.

Fuel consumption for the four-week period ended Sept. 26 reached about 19 million barrels a day, down 7 percent from the same period a year ago, according to the EIA.

"The demand just isn't there," Kornafel said. "The refineries aren't buying crude to turn it into gasoline because consumers aren't buying it on the road."

Kornafel predicted oil prices will trade between US$80 and US$90 during the next few months, with oil producers likely to cut production if prices fall further.

"US$75 is a major floor," Kornafel said. "OPEC would certainly react if we go below US$80."

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 1.55 cents to US$2.8624 a gallon, while gasoline prices gained 2.12 cents to US$2.3812 a gallon. Natural gas for November delivery rose 6.1 cents to US$7.789 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, November Brent crude rose 96 cents to US$96.29 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

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