Thu, 12/04/2008 10:48 AM | Opinion
One week after the abhorrent attacks in Mumbai, the aftermath is proving as combustible and complex as the perpetrators of the assault had likely intended it to be.
A sharp wedge has been shoved into the historical and emotional crevice between India and Pakistan.
The accusations and counter-statements flying around are likely to muddy the already challenging and sensitive investigations needed to unmask the diabolical masterminds behind the Mumbai siege.
We understand the outrage felt by Indians. This is the pain felt by Indonesians in the wake of the Bali bombings, the anger at the shattered peace Jakartans felt after their city was repeatedly attacked by terrorists.
But only through clear thinking did Indonesia overcome its grief and set about putting things right by conducting a thorough investigation that led to the arrest of several terrorists.
Vengeance is not justice, and the diplomacy needed to arrest those making cross-border threats will succeed only with cool heads, objectivity and, sometimes, endlessly tough negotiations.
We welcome the arrival of U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to New Delhi to help diffuse tensions and focus on the clear facts of the attacks.
The world must join in supporting these combined efforts to uncover and annihilate the terrorist cells involved.
As a close friend of both India and Pakistan, Indonesia can offer its services -- either bilaterally or using other existing frameworks of cooperation -- to bridge the widening viewpoints between the subcontinental neighbors.
Whether or not the offer is taken up is irrelevant at this juncture. The intended message will have been sent: No effort should be spared to cool the heads ever ready to think about putting a finger on the hot nuclear button.
We concede that evidence is purportedly mounting implicating various non-state elements burrowed within Pakistan as being responsible for the attack.
If this evidence is corroborated beyond emotionally driven speculation, then Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari will surely be eager to assist his neighbors in eliminating this threat.
The "how" will be challenging, but Zardari must realize that any terrorist threat to India within Pakistani borders is an acute cancer that ultimately weakens the authority of Islamabad.
We are confident that Zardari's administration will want to eradicate such threats. Pakistanis have been equally distressed by terrorism. The fate of the late Benazir Bhutto is testament to this fact.
We also urge our friends in New Delhi to act wisely without succumbing to the frustration of a domestic constituency hungry for quick retribution.
The operative word in the "war against terror" is that it is a war. Wars are not won in a single battle, nor can they be advanced without sustained, coordinated measures.
Wars, especially those involving the local population, must also take into account the context.
The prevailing context in Pakistan is one of transition -- of poor consolidation, impotence and frail legitimacy.
Indonesia knows full well the impact of political transitions in securing its own population. Fortunately, we survived this tumultuous process, albeit with more tears than cheers.
It is our belief that New Delhi must take into account the recent and fragile rise of the civilian administration in Islamabad.
While it may even be to his own domestic advantage to assist the unchecked demands of New Delhi, Zardari still has to balance the perfidious slop between civilian democracy and military influence.
If the international community cannot get these two great countries to find avenues of cooperation in the fight against terror, then the repercussions could be even worse than the Mumbai casualties.
Muhammad T (not verified) — Tue, 12/09/2008 - 9:02am
Lessons Learned from The Mumbai Terrorist Attack
The international community was shocked by the Mumbai terrorist attack last week. Almost 200 people were killed and more than 300 wounded. Many came away traumatized by the events they witnessed. The devastating attack crippled the city for three days. Now, what can we, Indonesia, learn from this attack?
The Times of India reported that one of the terrorists said to a surviving hostage that they killed and held people hostage at the Trident-Oberoi Hotel as pay back for the 2002 massacre of Muslims in Gujarat. It is clear that bloody communal conflict between the Hindus and Muslims in India was a significant factor, though not the only one, in motivating the attack. To prevent this from happening in Indonesia, the Indonesian government needs to prevent and peacefully solve any primordial and parochial conflicts as quickly as possible. Conflicts in Poso and Papua need to be resolved through dialogue involving local elites fueling the conflict. Preventing these conflicts from growing is to prevent reoccurrence of the Ambon conflicts and the 2000 Christmas bombings. Indonesia deserves commendation for resolving the communal violence in Maluku, but needs to be wary of the danger of radicalization that may not necessarily be marked by violence.
In mid-October, US intelligence officials tipped off Indian intelligence and warned authorities about the coming attack. One even mentioned that the Taj Mahal Hotel would be targeted. US intelligence was proven right. This only emphasizes the obvious: that in combating terrorism we need to work with foreign intelligence agencies. Indonesian intelligence agencies, especially the State Intelligence Agency (BIN), have well-established relations with CIA. BIN should use this relationship to gather intelligence on terror threats against Indonesia posted by foreign groups or individuals. The information can then be passed on to Detachment 88.
Current investigations have revealed that all the terrorists came from and were trained in Pakistan. This case has some parallels with the Indonesian experience. Several masterminds of terrorist attacks in Indonesia have been Malaysian—Azhari and Nurdin M Top. The Indonesian government needs to strengthen intelligence gathering in those countries whose citizens support terrorism in Indonesia by providing training grounds, financial support, equipment and even leadership. Indonesia should specifically target countries including Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, Pakistan, Yeman, Sudan, Saudi Arabia and Iran. By doing so, Indonesia can better anticipate plans to attack Indonesian interests. At the same time, Indonesian agencies should perfect their infiltration of local radical groups. It is very important that intelligence agencies protect their agents’ confidentiality in the field so that these agents can maintain their positions in radical groups and continue to supply important information. As experience shows, agents from Indonesian intelligence agencies are frequently made known to radical groups due to leaks from within the agencies themselves or because of the agent’s own sloppiness. Infiltration of local radical groups should not be underestimated as some members have both virtual and physical connections with global terror networks.
One of the Mumbai terrorists had worked at the Taj Mahal Hotel for eight months. During this time he gathered information on the hotel’s activities and layout. Infiltration of potential targets is clearly a necessity for a successful attack. Human resource managers at government institutions, multinational companies, international hotels, or any other likely terrorist targets in Indonesia must do thorough background checks on employees. Although expensive, investing money for the safety of these businesses, their employees and patrons is more than worth the cost.
On November 19, the Research and Analysis Wing (India’s foreign intelligence agency), intercepted a call between India and Lahore indicating a sea borne strike was being planned. Unfortunately, although the information was passed on to the Indian navy, coast guard and relevant local governments, they did not follow up on it in a manner befitting the seriousness of the information. This reminds us of the September 11, 2001 attack and the 2002 Bali bombing. Both the American and Indonesian governments knew of an impending attach. Yet somehow the information got lost in the murky web of bureaucracy. Today, Indonesian police, particularly Detachment 88 (Densus 88), have clear orders to head counter-terrorism initiatives in Indonesia. However, Densus 88 cannot possibly expect to succeed on their own. They need to maintain good relations and coordinate with vital institutions such as the military, customs, immigration and the State Intelligence Agency. In the future, to better manage this coordination the Indonesian government needs to establish an agency similar to the American NSC (National Security Council). The agency will orchestrate intelligence gathering, analysis and dissemination, and will appoint certain institutions to handle specific terror threats. This will avoid confusion and improve efficiency within intelligence communities in handling information and responding to threats.
In Mumbai, terrorist held innocent people hostage at two hotels. Local police failed to handle the situation and India’s elite ‘Black Cat’ commandos took over. It took three days for Black Cat to free the hostages and stop the terror. It is unlikely that the Indonesian Special Forces would have taken so long to rescue the hostages due their skills and experience in dealing with hostage situations. The Indonesian military has several anti-terror units including Sat 81 Gultor Kopassus (from Army Special Forces), Denjaka (from the Indonesian Navy) and Bravo Detachment (from the Air Force). These units have proven their skills in freeing hostages in the 1981 Woyla Hijacking case in Don Muang Airport, Thailand and in the Free Papua Movement’s taking of hostages in 1996. Now, with the handling of terrorism being shifted largely to Densus 88, for the sake of national security it is vital that Densus 88 learns from these experienced units and upgrades their relatively poor ability in handling hostage situations. Both Densus 88 and the Indonesian Special Forces need to put aside their political power plays and egoism. It is time for them to work together to maintain national security (rather than their personal interests). In addition, Densus 88 should learn from any foreign anti-terror squads that have had significant experience in freeing hostages.
Indonesia seems safe now. The police and Densus 88 have done remarkable jobs in dismantling terrorist groups and disrupting potential attacks. However, they can not afford the luxury of taking a break. To keep preventing terrorism successfully, we need to learn from the Mumbai terror. The question is, can we, and are we willing to learn?
VICTOR1971 (not verified) — Tue, 12/09/2008 - 3:08am
Finally, rest of the humanity has started to recognize the cancer called " Pakistan ". The terror strategy of Paki army / ISI against India stands on one solid single pillar- PLAUSIBLE DENIABILITY. This time in Mumbai they messed up in the execution and have been caught red handed. How much effort would it take or how hard would it be for paki army and ISI to plot and execute a terrorist attack like the Mumbai massacre and deny it completely? Very little, and that’s why they have gotten away so many times.
This is counter intuitive. The claim made most often by Pakis is this-----" such a terrorist attack or such a military mis- adventure (like the Kargil invasion they indulged in 1999) would be detrimental to Pakistan , so why would we do it?" They have used this tactic several times in the last 61 years and each time they have been exposed!! Mumbai is turning out to be Kargil 2008. In 1999 the pakis stealthily sent out one of its regiments, the Northern infantry made of Pashtuns, to capture mountains in Kashmir, lied through the teeth for months these were “Kashmiri freedom fighters”. Until they were humiliated internationally, were forced to admit and retreat.
To those people here who are trying to be "neutral" and trying to defend Pakis: India is a multi-ethnic, multi-religious society founded on an ideal that every one is equal under the constitution. Some of India ’s citizens belonging to EVERY GROUP have attempted to undermine its foundations over the years, and continue to do so. THIS DOES NOT NEGATE OR UNDERMINE THE IDEA OF INDIA AND WHAT WE STRIVE FOR. Christian defense minister, Sikh prime minister, Muslim President, Orthodox Jews living in Mumbai this is what we are about and this is what we cherish. To pull this, and conduct elect democratic governments amidst such poverty for 61 years is no small feat. Add in the factor of Pak being our neighbor!!
Another myth peddled by "experts" everywhere in Western media is once " Kashmir problem" is solved everything will be hunky dory. There is Kashmir “problem” and then there is Pakistan problem, the latter a much bigger threat to humanity. Kashmir is not a fight about real estate, but a survival question for Indians. It is a question about the very idea of India as a country, as a concept. 150 million muslims live in India in its villages and cities across the length and breadth of the country. There are many neighborhoods of cities and villages, with Muslim majority. Should they all become independent? 1000 pakistans across India ? This may sound like a rhetorical question but this was exactly what was visualized by some of the Paki ideologues pre-1947 and still dreamed by many in the Pak army and ISI. The founder and its ideologues expressed dissatisfaction at the “moth-eaten” Pakistan they got in 1947. And they still have gotten over it.
Will the pakis ever indulge in nation building? Do they need more lands? Will they ever focus on education, and progress? Will they ever stop being the warrior country? That’s all India wants Pakis to do. From 1947 onwards things haven't panned the way founders of Pakistan dreamed of. Both the British and Pak founders thought Pak would grow and do much better than India , and didn't expect India to survive together for too long. Large chunks of Paki population, and the "Pakistani two nation theory ideologues" in Pak military establishment still cannot digest the success of India . Mr. Ralph Peters has written a much more perspicacious article in New York Post on the Mumbai massacre pointing out envy is the key motivator.
How long and how far will the Pakis indulge in this jehad? Murderin unarmed civilians backed up with the threat of nuclear war? It is high time rest of the humanity stands up with India for its own sake.
Siva (not verified) — Thu, 12/04/2008 - 3:20pm
Cooperation in the fight against terror can happen only when the citizens of Pakistan stop being ambivalent about terrorists. With decades old political culture of supporting terrorists as freedom fighters, they are finding it difficult to adjust themselves to whole heartedly condemning terrorism even when they themselves are the victims,some of the times.
Shaeen (not verified) — Thu, 12/04/2008 - 1:22pm
The problem is compounded by a completely pro-India, and a totally
anti-Pakistan western media. They are constantly on Pakistan's case. Pakistan is always guilty in the court of the media, and they never want to lose any opportunity to stick it to Pakistan.
Pakistan is a country American media loves to hate. They
have a kind of subliminal desire to see Pakistan damaged.
Just consider their reaction to the carnage at the Marriott
hotel in Islamabad. That incident was shrugged off as yet another proof that Pakistan was done for, was on its last leg, and so forth. But with India it is totally the opposite: Mumbai is being used as yet another stick to beat Pakistan with. I do hope that Pakistan can count on the moral support from its genuine friends
like Indonesia during this ordeal. But I expect the American media to keep on fanning the fires of vengeance against Pakistan. Unfortunately, the rest of the world tend to get their cue from this very powerful, and well oiled propaganda machine.