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Surveys show contrasting poll results
Recent surveys on voters preferences for the July 8 presidential election show contrasting results on who the winner will be and whether the election will end in one or two rounds of voting
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Recent surveys on voters preferences for the July 8 presidential election show contrasting results on who the winner will be and whether the election will end in one or two rounds of voting.
A self-funded survey conducted by the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) showed presidential candidate Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono is likely to win the election in one round with 63 percent of votes.
The survey involved 4,000 respondents from 33 provinces.
Earlier, the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) also predicted Yudhoyono would likely win in a single-round victory with 70 percent of votes.
The survey institute’s polling sparked controversies from both experts and political parties.
They deemed the survey as biased because the survey institute was funded by Fox Indonesia, a political consultant firm for the Democratic Party (PD), Yudhoyono’s political vehicle.
The survey results are in stark contast with one conducted by the Indonesian Sociopolitical Development Strategy Research Center (PKSPSPI), which showed the presidential race was likely to end in two rounds.
According to the center’s survey, SBY and his running mate Boediono, former Bank Indonesia governor, will win the first round with 37 percent of vote.
The survey’s results showed former president Megawati Soekarnoputri from the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) and her running mate Prabowo Subianto from the Gerindra Party will get 16 percent while incumbent Vice President Jusuf Kalla from the Golkar Party and his vice presidential candidate Wiranto from the Hanura Party will secure only 6 percent.
“If there are no huge blunders from Yudhoyono or fantastic achievements from his competitors ahead of the election, the Yudhoyono-Boediono pair has the potential to win in a one-round victory,” the survey circle’s research director, Arman Salam, told reporters Thursday.
He said that the blunders included corruption cases or (an affair with) women, which would quickly affect support for the pair.
About 14 percent of respondents have yet to decide their choice.
The survey showed Yudhoyono and Kalla would have tight competition in South Sulawesi province — home to Kalla — with 42 percent and 40 percent of votes, respectively.
The survey circle said the survey was its second polling following a survey funded by SBY’s campaign team for internal purposes.
Another survey by the Information Research Institute (LRI) showed SBY would win the election, but with a far more moderate margin.
LRI’s survey predicted Yudhoyono will win the first round with 33 percent of the vote followed closely by Kalla with 29 percent. Megawati will secure 20 percent, according to the survey. (hdt)
