The government has once again granted PT Freeport Indonesia (PTFI) an exemption to export copper concentrate, an unexpected decision that appears to contradict its own downstreaming policy to transition the country from raw material exports to processed goods. Included in this policy is an export ban on copper concentrate and ores, and Freeport previously received a temporary exemption from this ban while building its copper smelter in Gresik, East Java. The facility was completed in March 2024 however, and many are now questioning whether Freeport’s export privilege is to continue indefinitely.

The Greater Jakarta area cannot seem to catch a break as it recently suffered its worst flood since 2020, in what is dubbed the "five-year flood cycle”. Jakarta Governor Pramono Anung and West Java Governor Dedi Mulyadi, who have only been in office for a month, have been criticized throughout this crisis as their constituents demand answers and adequate action to address the recurring natural disaster striking their regions.

The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) has been wavering for months between joining the coalition government of President Prabowo Subianto or playing the role of opposition, loyal or otherwise, in the House of Representatives. When it holds its congress in April, it is not clear whether it will have made up its mind.

The revision of the Indonesian Military (TNI) Law has not only sparked widespread controversy in public but interestingly also revealed a semblance of a rift within the government and military leadership.

The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) imposed a 30-minute trading halt on Tuesday from 11:19 a.m. to 11:49 a.m.

The government plans to establish 70,000 Red and White village cooperatives at an estimated cost of Rp 350 trillion (US$21.47 billion), with the official launch set for July 12, coinciding with National Cooperatives Day. This initiative aims to strengthen rural economies and tackle key challenges such as extreme poverty by improving access to staple goods. However, concerns have been raised about the project’s feasibility and the potential redundancy it may create alongside existing village-owned enterprises (BUMDes).

The recent scandal over MinyaKita has exposed a crack in the government and structural flaws in the domestic market obligation (DMO) policy. According to economists, the anti-market policy fails to account for volatile crude palm oil (CPO) prices, leaving producers struggling to meet costs and incentivizing violations.

Thomas “Tom” Trikasih Lembong, former trade minister during the first term of former president Joko “Jokowi” Widodo, is standing trial at the Jakarta Corruption Court on charges related to alleged embezzlement of state funds with regard to raw sugar imports. However, given Tom's support for the opposition candidate Anies Baswedan in the 2024 presidential race, suspicions have arisen that the case has been orchestrated to limit the opposition and even to prevent the emergence of a potential challenger in the next election.

Indonesia in 2024 held a series of elections that went off relatively peacefully and saw large voter turnout to give popular legitimacy to those in power today, yet the country saw its ranking in the global democracy index decline last year.

After a month-long silence, the Finance Ministry has finally released the state budget (APBN) performance report for January, in tandem with the February 2025 report. The delay had already stirred speculation about internal tensions within the ministry, including persistent rumors of Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati’s possible resignation.

President Prabowo Subianto has positioned himself as a populist leader, launching ambitious initiatives to appeal to the broader public. However, his recent meet-ups with the country’s top business magnates have raised suspicion over his underlying intentions.

Indonesia has launched its first bullion banks by licensing Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) and state-owned pawn Pegadaian to provide bullion banking services. This initiative aims to strengthen the gold downstream sector and maximize economic benefits from processing, trading and financing, helping gold-producer Indonesia retain more value domestically.

The Constitutional Court has wrapped up all of the sessions to adjudicate regional election disputes and handed down several key rulings, including the most significant one, which was a vote rerun in several regions. The election reruns will be held amid the government’s austerity measures that may compromise the fair and transparent principles of the democratic process.

President Prabowo Subianto has signed Presidential Regulation (Perpres) No. 5/2025 to establish a forestry task force tasked with collecting fines from the forestry sector. The move mirrors efforts made under the previous administration to collect penalties from illegal palm oil operations. However, with the Attorney General’s Office (AGO) still investigating alleged corruption involving Rp 300 trillion (US$18.2 billion) in palm oil fines from that period, the formation of the new task force has raised questions about its timing and underlying motives.

Public trust in the government continues to diminish after a Rp 193.7 trillion (US$11 billion) graft case involving subsidiaries of state-owned oil and gas holding company Pertamina sparked national outcry. Among the nine suspects in the case is Kerry Adrianto Riza, the 38-year-old son of politically connected oil tycoon Muhammad Riza Chalid.

PT Sri Rejeki Isman (Sritex), one of Southeast Asia’s largest integrated textile manufacturers, officially ceased operations on Mar. 1, 2025, following its bankruptcy declaration. The shutdown led to the layoff of 10,965 workers between January and February 2025. In response, President Prabowo has instructed several ministers to devise solutions to help re-employ the affected workers, including leasing factory machinery, attracting investors to acquire the company and facilitating their absorption into other companies.

Volunteers who campaigned for Anies Baswedan in the 2024 presidential election have launched Gerakan Rakyat (People’s Movement) potentially offering a political vehicle for the popular but also controversial former Jakarta governor, should he decide to run in 2029. Still only 55 years old and very ambitious, it is almost certain that he will throw down the gauntlet.

The Indonesian Military (TNI) Law has joined the priority list of this year’s National Legislation Program (Prolegnas), after failing to make it in the 2019-2024 term of the House of Representatives. The revision comes as President Prabowo Subianto shows a tendency to involve the military in his flagship programs.

In an effort to stabilize rice production and prices, the Agriculture Ministry has enlisted the Indonesian Military (TNI) and the National Police to oversee the procurement of harvested dry unhusked rice (GKP) at a government-set price of Rp 6,500 per kilogram (30 US cents). This regulation on the Government Purchase Price (HPP) for unhusked rice took effect on Jan. 15, 2025.

From the outset of Prabowo Subianto’s presidency, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) was touted to play an opposition role. However, four months since he took office, the party has barely made headway in contesting any significant legislation, let alone take a firm, public stand in opposition to Prabowo.

President Prabowo Subianto has officially launched the highly anticipated Daya Anagata Nusantara (Danantara) Investment Management Agency, announcing an ambitious initial investment wave totaling Rp 325 trillion (US$20 billion) across 20 strategic projects. Through these projects, President Prabowo reaffirmed the agency’s commitment to long-term sustainable growth aimed at strengthening Indonesia’s economic foundation.

The massive student demonstrations that erupted in several cities in Indonesia last week were the most serious anti-government protests since President Prabowo Subianto took charge in October. Clearly, all is not well in spite of his high approval ratings.

President Prabowo Subianto has vowed to crack down on mafia-like practices in the oil and gas industry, after an ongoing probe named nine executives as suspects in a case on fraudulent crude oil and fuel trading, estimated to have incurred state losses of Rp 193.7 trillion (US$12 billion) between 2018 and 2023. The outcome of this case will be a test of Prabowo’s commitment to fighting corruption in the energy sector, especially as to whether the investigation extends to high-profile figures who might have profited from the illegal activity.

The government is enhancing labor protections by introducing new regulations that guarantee holiday bonuses (THR) for ride-hailing drivers. However, due to the lack of a clear legal classification of these drivers as employees, their entitlement to these benefits remains uncertain. In parallel, President Prabowo Subianto has enacted a regulation ensuring that laid-off workers receive 60 percent of their last salary for six months.

President Prabowo Subianto is pushing for budget efficiency, which is expected to save around Rp 300 trillion (US$18.36 billion) and could even reach Rp 750 trillion, to create enough fiscal space to fund his signature programs such as the free nutritious meals program and the new Danantara sovereign wealth fund. On the other hand, this austerity measure is feared to undermine the morale of government employees, who will see their pay drop significantly.

The government has extended the mandatory lock-up period for export earnings from natural resource commodities (DHE) from three months to one year. This policy aims to bolster Indonesia’s foreign exchange (forex) liquidity amid ongoing economic uncertainties. However, the move has faced strong resistance from businesses, which argue that it significantly increases their financial burden. The extended lock-up period is set to take effect around March 1 with the issuance of Government Regulation (PP) No. 8/2025.

Like most countries around the world, Indonesia is struggling to contain the problems and dangers stemming from rampant growth in internet use. When it comes to tackling tech giants with platforms that allow the proliferation of harmful content however, the government is moving cautiously, counting on their help instead of tackling them head-on.

The House of Representatives passed on Feb. 18 the fourth amendment to Law No. 4/2009 on mineral and coal mining (UU Minerba) following a hasty deliberation during its recess to expand eligibility for mining concessions to include religious organizations, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and cooperatives, which critics have said will benefit only those institutions with close government connections.

As President Prabowo Subianto settles into power, the shift in the political landscape is becoming clearer, with he and his Gerindra Party at center stage. The party celebrated its 17th anniversary over the weekend at a congress attended by thousands of members, ministers, and former president Joko “Jokowi” Widodo.

State-Owned Enterprises (SOE) Minister Erick Thohir has appointed Major General Novi Helmy Prasetya as the new president director of the State Logistics Agency (Bulog), sparking concerns about military involvement in civilian institutions. Given Bulog’s critical role in national food security, the decision raises questions about whether military leadership is equipped to handle the agency’s complex economic and logistical challenges.