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Najib expected to announce budget cuts of up to US$4 billion

Adjustments to Budget 2015, which will be announced by prime minister Najib Razak today, will likely include spending cuts of up to 15 billion ringgit (US$4

The Jakarta Post
Petaling Jaya
Tue, January 20, 2015 Published on Jan. 20, 2015 Published on 2015-01-20T10:48:20+07:00

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djustments to Budget 2015, which will be announced by prime minister Najib Razak today, will likely include spending cuts of up to 15 billion ringgit (US$4.18 billion).

According to economists, the cuts may allow for the government to be on track to meet its deficit target of 3 per cent this year, in the most optimistic of circumstances.

Malaysia University of Science and Technology School of Business dean and economist Dr Yeah Kim Leng told The Star that he estimated total spending cuts of between 10 and 15 billion ringgit that may affect both operating and development expenditures.

'€œSome of the big projects may be delayed but the government can decide to resort to private sector financing,'€ he said.

'€œReduction in operating expenditure should be prioritised '€“ especially expenses that can be reduced without jeopardising the quality of government services,'€ he said.

Institute for Democracy and Economic Affairs chief executive Wan Saiful Wan Jan said the government should consider trimming its spending and focus on development expenditure instead of operational expenditure.

'€œThey should consider downsizing certain ministries and cut down their expenses,'€ he said.

Ramon Navaratnam said unproductive projects should be replaced with those generating high income.

The former transport ministry secretary-general said the government should focus and approve programmes that could contribute to higher productivity as well as increase supplies for the country.

He said political will was crucial during unpredictable times to prevent adverse effects from becoming worse.

Ramon suggested that the government relax certain restrictive policies temporarily to attract more foreign investors.

Alliance Research'€™s chief economist Manokaran Mottain said the construction sector would be affected if development expenditure that was originally given a 48.5 billion ringgit allocation under Budget 2015 is trimmed.

'€œThere are various mega highway and connectivity infrastructure projects due this year and the government might consider deferring some of the projects.

'€œThe government will have to evaluate which projects are more urgent and high-impact.

'€œWe are still expecting the GDP growth for 2015 to be about 5 per cent. However, if the government were to trim the budget drastically, risk to overall economic growth would be tilted to the downside.

'€œA slowdown in the pace of growth is not an outright contraction or a crisis, but rather, a moderation,'€ added Manokaran.

Dr Yeah expects the drop in oil and gas revenues to be offset slightly by the impending introduction of the goods and services tax in April and the scrapping of fuel subsidies.

'€œIf Brent crude oil remains at between $40$50 per barrel, the government can opt to raise revenue by not lowering pump price to actual market prices.

'€œIt should channel the additional tax collection into a price stabilisation or oil wealth fund,'€ he said.

Even if there was a slight overshoot of 3 per cent on the budget deficit, this would not overly impact investors'€™ confidence as long as it remains lower than last year'€™s target of 3.5 per cent.'€

'€œIf it is between 3-3.5 per cent, I believe the market can still accept it, given the circumstances,'€ he said.

On the ringgit, Dr Yeah said the local currency might have '€œovershot to the downside'€ as investors might have earlier overreacted.

On the biggest public infrastructure project '€“ the Mass Rapid Transit Line 2 '€“ announced last year by the government, Mass Rapid Transit Corp Sdn Bhd'€™s newly appointed CEO Shahril Mokhtar credited the government for being responsible and reviewing Budget 2015.

Shahril said a second MRT line for the city was still a logical step, especially as Malaysia had taken the position of making urban rail the backbone of public transportation for the Klang Valley, but considering these trying times, MRT Corp would abide by any government decision.

Asli chief executive officer Dr Michael Yeoh said the government should explain clearly the measures taken in the light of global uncertainties and the drop in oil prices, which will have both positive and negative impacts on the nation. (***)

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