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BI forecasts RI current account deficit at 1.6% of GDP

Bank Indonesia (BI) has said that Indonesia’s trade balance, which recorded a US$2

The Jakarta Post
Jakarta
Sun, April 19, 2015

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BI forecasts RI current account deficit at 1.6% of GDP

B

ank Indonesia (BI) has said that Indonesia'€™s trade balance, which recorded a US$2.43 billion surplus in the first three months of 2015, will lead the country'€™s current account deficit to be lower than expected.

The central bank predicts that in the first quarter of 2015, Indonesia'€™s current account deficit will stand at 1.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), lower than its initial forecast of between 1.8 and 2 percent.

BI'€™s monetary and economic policy department executive director Juda Agung said the bank'€™s lower prediction on the current account deficit was due to Indonesia'€™s trade balance surplus, which reached $1.13 billion in March. As a result, the country'€™s trade balance recorded a surplus of $2.43 billion in three months, higher than last year'€™s January-March surplus, which reached $1.07 billion.

Juda said Indonesia'€™s economic activities had remained low in the first quarter of this year, meaning its income balance would be also lower than initially predicted.

'€œThe outlook until the end of this year will be at around 3 percent. There is a possibility that it will be slightly lower than 3 percent,'€ he explained.

Last year, Indonesia'€™s current account recorded a deficit of $4.15 billion, 1.97 percent of GDP.

Juda went on that in the second quarter of this year, the country'€™s current account deficit would increase, as the government'€™s infrastructure projects had begun, leading to increases in imports and repatriation of dividends or asset outflows starting in June.

Last year, the current account deficit in the second quarter reached $8.94 billion or 3.97 percent of GDP. (ebf)(++++)

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