Election Watch

‘Jokowi effect’ falls
flat: Analyst

The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) failed to garner a significant share of the vote, which had been expected after it announced the nomination of popular Jakarta Governor Joko “Jokowi” Widodo, due to the underperformance of the party’s political machinery, an analyst said Wednesday.

Given the current quick count results, said Charta Politika’s Arya Fernandes, the PDI-P, currently the biggest opposition, will only garner about 19 to 22 percent of the vote when the official tally is released. Even at 22 percent, the party’s share of the vote is far below its target of 30 percent.

It was previously expected that Jokowi’s nomination, which was called the “Jokowi effect”, would play a significant factor in boosting the PDI-P’s electability.

“Today’s legislative election tested how the PDI-P could manage the Jokowi factor and translate it into electoral results. The reality was that the Jokowi effect did not have much benefit,” Arya said.

“Although quick counts are not final, parties should be able to learn from them. Quick counts can reflect the performances of the party leadership, executives and legislative candidates. They can also reflect the organization qualities of the parties,” he said, adding that political infrastructure was very important in the legislative election.

The PDI-P has been ranked first, with 19.26 percent of the vote, by the CSIS-Cyrus Network joint-exit poll survey. Behind the PDI-P was the Golkar Party, with 12.86 percent; and the Gerindra Party with 10.26 percent. The ruling Democratic Party came in fourth with 7.70 percent.

The exit poll was conducted in 2,000 polling stations in 33 provinces with 8,000 respondents. The survey's confidence level was 95 percent with margin of error +/- 1.1 percent.

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