Good reading: World Bank president Jim Yong-kim (left), accompanied by President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo, hands out books to residents of Tangkil village, Bogor regency, West Java, on Wednesday
ood reading: World Bank president Jim Yong-kim (left), accompanied by President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo, hands out books to residents of Tangkil village, Bogor regency, West Java, on Wednesday. The visit was part of the government’s campaign against stunting. (Antara /Puspa Perwitasari)
World Bank president Jim Yong-kim lauded Indonesia’s economy on Wednesday, saying its macroeconomic indicators were better than other developing countries, while calling for the government to be cautious in the face of a potential trade war.
During a courtesy call with President joko “Jokowi” Widodo at the Bogor Palace, West Java, Kim praised the government’s debt management citing Indonesia’s relatively low debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio compared with other developing countries.
“We feel that Indonesia’s economy and the [government’s] management of the economy are among the models for the entire world,” he said while visiting a village in Bogor with Jokowi on Wednesday.
Indonesia posted an average government debt-to-GDP ratio of 26.5 percent from 2014 to 2016, while regional peers Thailand and Malaysia posted 42.3 percent and 53.3 percent, respectively, according to Spain-based economic think tank FocusEconomics data.
In 2019, Indonesia’s average government debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to reach 28.9 percent, while Thailand and Malaysia will be at 43.3 percent and 50.9 percent, the data show.
After the commodity boom ended a few years ago, surges in debt have burdened many countries that rely heavily on commodities, such as Venezuela.
As trade spats have escalated globally, particularly those between the United States and China, Kim warned the Indonesian government to anticipate negative impacts as trade growth could be disrupted.
“We are advising all interested parties that nobody ever wins in a trade war and so we are hoping for the best. But Indonesia, just like any other economy, has to be prepared,” he said.
As a trade war loomed over global markets, Taye Shim, research head of Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia, said the government could anticipate weaker export growth by boosting its spending. However, the spending needed to be within the limits of state revenues.
“The government is trying to minimize the negative effect of the external side [net exports] by pushing the domestic side [consumer and public spending]. However, based on previous experience, consumer spending is stagnant and state spending is slow,” he said recently.
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