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Some provinces containing COVID-19, improving economy: CSIS

Marchio Irfan Gorbiano (The Jakarta Post)
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Fri, July 31, 2020 Published on Jul. 31, 2020 Published on 2020-07-31T12:03:54+07:00

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Several visitors are not wearing face masks and not keeping a physical distance at a coffee shop in South Tangerang on Wednesday. Several visitors are not wearing face masks and not keeping a physical distance at a coffee shop in South Tangerang on Wednesday. (JP/Dhoni Setiawan)

A

s the debate on whether to prioritize public health or economic recovery continues in Indonesia, several provinces outside of densely populated Java have managed to contain the coronavirus disease without sacrificing the local economy, a recent study by the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has found.

The Jakarta-based think tank launched its online COVID-19 dashboard on Tuesday, which collates data on virus mitigation and economic activities at the provincial level all across the country.

The dashboard is divided into four quadrants that represent the variations of outcomes at a given time, from the worst-case scenario of declining economic activities and worsening health conditions to the ideal scenario of improvements in both health and economic aspects.

According to compiled data for July 25, nine provinces – Riau Islands, West Sumatra, Banten, West Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, East Nusa Tenggara, Lampung, Bangka Belitung Islands and Jambi – were showing a reduction in the number of active cases in their respective regions amid signs of improving economic activity.

Meanwhile, the two national epicenters of the outbreak, Jakarta and East Java, were among provinces where economic activity has picked up but is accompanied by an increase in COVID-19 transmissions.

To determine the COVID-19 transmission in a given province, CSIS researchers used the so-called COVID-19 Intensity Index, which measures the growth of the disease’s transmission, its death rate and the number of active cases.

Meanwhile, day-to-day economic activities were measured through the Mobility Index, which is drawn from the Facebook Range Map as proxy data, considering the lack of other economic data suited to real-time comparisons.

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