The Indonesian bond market has provided some shelter from the global volatility caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
By
Jakarta
In a volatile and fear-driven global bond market, a solid and growing investor base is crucial as these investors have local knowledge and can lower complexity. In Indonesia, local investors' participation has risen sharply in the post-COVID-19 period.
The turbulence in the global foreign exchange (FX) and bond market during 2020, and the increasing risk of inflation and tightening in 2021 and 2022 have prevented global investors from entering emerging markets' (EM) local currency (LCY) bond market. At times like these, local investors come to the rescue and boost demand for bonds.
During the initial outflow, Bank Indonesia (BI) stepped in to buy government bonds. Aside from BI's participation during the pandemic through the burden-sharing scheme, there was a more sustained and widespread increase in demand for Indonesian bonds. The banking sector was the first to increase participation when COVID-19 arrived in 2020. The limited loan demand, sufficient liquidity from the government’s national recovery plans and the changing risk perception pushed banks to significantly increase holdings of government bonds. BI's secondary statutory reserve regulations also incentivize banks to hold some of their reserves in highly liquid bond assets. Local banks' ownership of SBN rose from Rp 581 trillion (US$38.7 billion) in 2019 to Rp 1.69 quadrillion in June 2023.
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