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View all search resultsPositive pressure on ratings is ebbing, following a run of upgrades since 2011, with Vietnam the latest, in which the country was raised to BB-/Stable on Nov
ositive pressure on ratings is ebbing, following a run of upgrades since 2011, with Vietnam the latest, in which the country was raised to BB-/Stable on Nov.3, 2014, says Fitch Ratings in its latest outlook.
Fitch says in its 2015 Outlook for Emerging Asian Sovereigns that eight of 10 emerging Asian sovereigns have a stable outlook, with two, namely Malaysia and Mongolia, having a negative outlook. A deeper look at the credit profiles using Fitch Ratings' four main categories for analysis reveals marginally more negative than positive momentum, it adds.
'Market volatility in December 2014 could be a foretaste of what is to come in 2015 as the US Federal Reserve moves toward raising interest rates while other major central banks may ease policies further,' said Fitch in a release made available to The Jakarta Post on Monday.
'It was striking that the emerging Asian markets should have been caught up in turbulence coming from Russia, as the region's direct links with Russia are few. These events show that emerging Asia remains vulnerable to contagion from events elsewhere,' it further said.
Nonetheless, the rating firm said it expected real gross domestic product (GDP) in emerging Asia, excluding China, to expand by about 6 percent in 2015 and 2016, remaining the world's fastest-growing region.
'We forecast China's GDP to expand at 6.8 percent in 2015 and 6.5 percent in 2016, as the government's bid to rebalance the economy is worked through. Lower oil prices and faster growth in advanced economies support most emerging Asian countries, including China,' said Fitch. (ebf)(++++)
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