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Jakarta Post

Addressing accuracy in chronic rice data problem

  • Kadir Ruslan

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Jakarta   /   Thu, March 14, 2019   /  12:05 pm
Addressing accuracy in chronic rice data problem Balinese farmers prepare rice seedlings for planting at a rice terrace in Jatiluwih village in Tabanan regency in Bali on January 1, 2014. (AFP/Sonny Tumbelaka)

The rice production figure has been a source of policy and political debates in Indonesia for many years now. The disassociation between the development of rice prices in the market and production data happens all the time. In fact, soaring prices that indicate a supply shortage still happens especially when the official figure records a substantial rice surplus.  Many parties have blamed the official production figures as the main cause of these inconsistencies. It is suspected of suffering from overestimation because of the use of subjective measurements when estimating it. Technically, rice production is obtained from the production of paddy multiplied by paddy to rice conversion rates, which varies from province to province. Meanwhile, the production figure of a paddy is calculated by multiplying two variables, namely the harvested area and productivity (yield per hectare)...

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