TheJakartaPost

Please Update your browser

Your browser is out of date, and may not be compatible with our website. A list of the most popular web browsers can be found below.
Just click on the icons to get to the download page.

Jakarta Post

Asian stocks ease on uncertainty over timing of US rate cuts

Ankur Banerjee (Reuters)
Singapore
Fri, May 17, 2024 Published on May. 17, 2024 Published on 2024-05-17T09:42:37+07:00

Change text size

Gift Premium Articles
to Anyone

Share the best of The Jakarta Post with friends, family, or colleagues. As a subscriber, you can gift 3 to 5 articles each month that anyone can read—no subscription needed!
Asian stocks ease on uncertainty over timing of US rate cuts A passerby walks past an electric screen displaying Japan's Nikkei share average and the Dow Jones Industrial Average outside a brokerage in Tokyo on March 11, 2024. (Reuters/Issei Kato)

A

sian stocks inched lower on Friday as traders pondered the near-term US monetary policy path after Federal Reserve officials suggested that interest rates may need to stay higher for longer even as inflation shows early signs of easing.

Data on Wednesday showed cooling US consumer price inflation, prompting markets to swiftly price in at least two rate cuts this year but the excitement soon fizzled out as the latest report showed the labor market remains tight, while central bankers were still cautious about inflation.

Traders are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year from the Fed, with a rate cut in November fully priced in.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.14 percent after touching a two-year high on Thursday. The index was still set for an increase of 2.6 percent this week for its fourth straight week of gains.

Japan's Nikkei fell 0.48 percent, while China stocks grinded higher, with the blue chip gauge gaining 0.15 percent in early trading.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was the bright spot for Asia, rising 0.77 percent and touching its highest since August 2023.

Prospects

Every Monday

With exclusive interviews and in-depth coverage of the region's most pressing business issues, "Prospects" is the go-to source for staying ahead of the curve in Indonesia's rapidly evolving business landscape.

By registering, you agree with The Jakarta Post's

Thank You

for signing up our newsletter!

Please check your email for your newsletter subscription.

View More Newsletter

"Following the incremental softening of the US data, this is probably as far as the risk rally can go in the absence of tier-1 data over the coming week," said Nicholas Chia, Asia macro strategist at Standard Chartered.

While the data this week offered the Fed good news on two fronts, policymakers haven't openly shifted views yet about the timing of rate cuts investors are convinced will start this year.

Monetary policy is "restrictive" and "is in a good place," Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said. "I don't see any indicators now telling me [...] there's a reason to change the stance of monetary policy now."

Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week, indicating that labor market conditions remain fairly tight even as job growth is cooling.

Overnight, the Dow rose as high as 40,051.05 while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also hit record highs before gradually losing steam and finishing slightly lower on the day.

In the currency markets, the dollar headed for its largest weekly fall versus the euro in 2/1-2 months. The euro is up roughly 1 percent against the dollar and was last at $1.08595.

The yen weakened 0.23 percent to 155.80 per dollar in early trading, giving back some of the gains it made after the mild US CPI report earlier in the week.

The Japanese currency has fallen around 9.5 percent this year as the Bank of Japan has kept monetary policy loose while higher US interest rates have drawn money towards US bonds and the dollar.

Tokyo is suspected to have intervened on at least two days in late April and early May to support the yen after it tumbled to lows last seen more than three decades ago.

The yen has been particularly sensitive to any widening of the interest rate differential.

"While the weaker US data should benefit low-yielders like the yen, the recent price action suggests the Japanese authorities may have more to do beyond verbal jawboning if they intend to keep speculators at bay," Standard Chartered's Chia said.

"Paring back bond purchases and further rate hikes in the second half of 2024 may be inevitable if the authorities are serious about pushing the dollar-yen pair lower."

The BOJ on Friday kept the amounts unchanged at a regular bond buying operation, after unexpectedly reducing purchases of bonds with 5-10 years left to maturity at the start of the week.

In commodities, oil prices rose in Asian trading hours, with global benchmark Brent set for its first weekly increase in three weeks on signs of improving global demand and slowing inflation in top oil consumer the United States.

US crude was little changed at $79.18 a barrel and Brent was 0.1 percent higher at 83.35 per barrel.

Gold prices were last at $2,377.25 per ounce.

Your Opinion Matters

Share your experiences, suggestions, and any issues you've encountered on The Jakarta Post. We're here to listen.

Enter at least 30 characters
0 / 30

Thank You

Thank you for sharing your thoughts. We appreciate your feedback.

Share options

Quickly share this news with your network—keep everyone informed with just a single click!

Change text size options

Customize your reading experience by adjusting the text size to small, medium, or large—find what’s most comfortable for you.

Gift Premium Articles
to Anyone

Share the best of The Jakarta Post with friends, family, or colleagues. As a subscriber, you can gift 3 to 5 articles each month that anyone can read—no subscription needed!

Continue in the app

Get the best experience—faster access, exclusive features, and a seamless way to stay updated.