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Why does Indonesia still rely on fossil fuel imports?

Geopolitical tensions should serve as a wake-up call to hasten the transition to renewable energy.

Denny Gunawan, Ari Pasek, James Christian and Wibawa Hendra Saputera (The Jakarta Post)
The Conversation
Wed, September 24, 2025 Published on Sep. 22, 2025 Published on 2025-09-22T17:03:39+07:00

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The floating panels of a solar power plant at Cirata Dam in Purwakarta regency, West Java, are seen from above on Sept. 26, 2023. The floating panels of a solar power plant at Cirata Dam in Purwakarta regency, West Java, are seen from above on Sept. 26, 2023. (Antara/Raisan Al Farisi)

T

he year 2025 begins with persistent global geopolitical tensions. The war between Ukraine and Russia drags on, conflict in the Middle East is heating up, and the United States-China trade war continues. All of this could send shockwaves through the global energy market, including in Indonesia.

Indonesia still relies heavily on imported crude oil and natural gas. In 2024, Indonesia spent US$36.28 billion on imported crude oil and natural gas, leaving it highly vulnerable to sudden price hikes caused by war or trade tariffs.

When war broke out in Ukraine in 2022, oil shot past $100 a barrel and Indonesia’s subsidy budget ballooned.

These geopolitical tensions should serve as a wake-up call to hasten the transition to renewable energy. Beyond reducing emissions, expanding domestic renewables would cut import dependence and bolster national energy security.

Ironically, Indonesia’s recent diplomacy with the US has deepened its reliance on imported energy, with President Prabowo Subianto approving $15 billion in crude oil and LPG imports in exchange for lower trade tariffs.

These global shocks further expose Indonesia’s deep dependence on imported fossil fuels, making the shift to renewables not just a climate necessity but a strategic imperative for energy security and economic resilience.

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Rooftop solar is among the fastest ways to scale up renewable energy. To spur adoption, the government has introduced regulations such as the 2021 rooftop solar grid rule, the 2024 reform and quota regulation and the 2024 local content rule for solar projects.

However, these regulations have drawn sharp criticism. The 2021 regulation capped the capacity of rooftop solar that could connect to PLN, the state electricity company. Meanwhile, the 2024 quota regulation abolished the net-metering scheme, which had allowed households to offset electricity bills by feeding excess power back into the grid.

These restrictions have discouraged public adoption of rooftop solar, slowing down Indonesia’s progress toward its renewable energy goals.

Australia offers a strong example: it leads the world in rooftop solar adoption through federal subsidies under the Small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme, complemented by state-level rebates and interest-free loan programs.

As a result, rooftop solar installation costs can be reduced to 70 percent of market prices, making solar panels affordable for households and small businesses.

Beyond rooftop solar, Indonesia must accelerate large-scale projects like the Cirata Floating Solar Plant, and expand electricity infrastructure for transport and industry.

This is critical given that industry (45.94 percent) and transport (36.11 percent), both account for the bulk of national energy consumption, are still heavily dependent on coal, natural gas, and oil.

Expanding the national grid and building electric vehicle (EV) charging networks are critical for enabling a smooth transition to clean, electricity-based industry and transport.

Not all sectors can readily switch to electricity; aviation, maritime and heavy industry will continue to remain reliant on chemical fuels.

Indonesia must also scale up renewable fuel production, including green hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, bioethanol, sustainable aviation fuel and biodiesel, ensuring they are produced using renewable electricity and sustainable feedstocks, while avoiding deforestation by prioritizing waste-based sources.

PLN has begun developing a hydrogen supply chain for industry and fuel-cell vehicles, one of its largest initiatives is the Garuda Green Hydrogen (GH2), a partnership with Saudi energy giant ACWA Power, set to operate in 2026. The hydrogen will be converted into ammonia to support Indonesia’s domestic fertilizer industry.

Other hydrogen projects underway include Gresik Green Hydrogen (ACWA Power and Pupuk Indonesia), Jambi Green Hydrogen (Sembcorp and Transgasindo), Kujang Green Ammonia (Pupuk Indonesia and Fortescue Future Industries) and East Sumba Solar/Fuel Cell (HDF Energy). All projects are scheduled to begin operations between 2026 and 2027.

Indonesia has also begun producing sustainable aviation fuels. State-owned oil company Pertamina’s Cilacap refinery started output of Bioavtur J2.4 in 2021, a 2.4 percent palm oil-based blend with fossil jet fuel, with a capacity of 9,000 barrels per day. The technology has been developed by Pertamina Research and Technology Innovation (RTI) and Bandung Institute of Technology (ITB) since 2010.

Pertamina is also developing new facilities to produce sustainable fuels, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel from used cooking oil, at its refineries in Cilacap, Plaju and Sungai Gerong.

All this demonstrates that Indonesia has both the capacity and resources to advance renewable energy, so why does it still lean so heavily on imports?

The biggest challenge in Indonesia’s energy transition is financing. To address this, Indonesia must strengthen multilateral cooperation, particularly with its Asia-Pacific neighbors, including ASEAN members and Australia.

Incentives like tax holidays can draw in foreign investors, while streamlined licensing reforms will ease the flow of foreign capital.

Funding could also be mobilized through partnerships with global institutions such as the Quad coalition (Australia, India, Japan, and the United States), the International Energy Agency (IEA), the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the World Bank.

Indonesia has also agreed to export 3.4 GW of clean electricity to Singapore until 2035, backed by $30-50 billion in solar investments, plus another $2.7 billion for solar panel and battery manufacturing.

The program is projected to generate $4-6 billion in annual foreign exchange revenue.

Pertamina has also supplied sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to Virgin Australia during the Bali International Air Show on Sept. 18-19, 2024.

By prioritizing three key actions, accelerating electrification, advancing renewable fuels and strengthening multilateral cooperation, Indonesia has a major opportunity to fast-track its energy transition.

Stronger energy security would not only protect Indonesia from global shocks but also lay the foundation for sustainable economic growth in the decades to come.

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Denny Gunawan is a research associate at ARC Training Centre for the Global Hydrogen Economy, Particles and Catalysis Research Laboratory, UNSW Sydney, where James Christian is a business manager at NSW Decarbonisation Innovation Hub. Ari Pasek is a professor at Bandung Institute of Technology, where Wibawa Hendra Saputera is a chemical engineering lecturer. The article is republished under a Creative Commons license.

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