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MSCI world stock index hits record high, dollar dips after US inflation data

Caroline Valetkevitch and Huw Jones (Reuters)
New York/London
Fri, June 28, 2024 Published on Jun. 28, 2024 Published on 2024-06-28T23:20:52+07:00

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MSCI world stock index hits record high, dollar dips after US inflation data Buildings of Citibank and HSBC are pictured in London's Canary Wharf financial district on Feb. 10, 2023. (AFP/Daniel Leal)

T

he MSCI world stock index hit a record high while the US dollar index inched lower on Friday after data showed that US inflation was flat in May, fueling investor optimism the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates in September.

US stocks were moderately higher after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs in early New York trading.

The Fed's preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, showed that annual growth in prices was 2.6 percent in May, as economists had expected, down from 2.7 percent in April.

"When you compare what we got today with expectations, it is very much in-line and so the Fed will likely have enough comfort by the time of the September 18th meeting to cut rates for the first time," said Art Hogan, chief market strategists at B Riley Wealth in New York.

The chance of a rate cut in September inched up to 68 percent from 61 percent before the data, as per LSEG data.

Investors were still digesting the US presidential debate from late Thursday between Democratic President Joe Biden and Republican rival Donald Trump ahead of the November election.

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Trump Media & Technology Group shares rose sharply early but were last down about 3 percent.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 96.18 points, or 0.26 percent, to 39,264.37, the S&P 500 gained 14.49 points, or 0.26 percent, to 5,497.36 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 39.87 points, or 0.23 percent, to 17,899.56.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was up 1.60 points, or 0.20 percent, at 805.35 after hitting a record at 808.37 earlier. The STOXX 600 index fell 0.27 percent.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was down slightly at 105.85.

The US dollar briefly fell against the Japanese yen after the PCE data. Against the yen, the dollar last was up 0.09 percent at 160.88.

The yen's slide to a 38-year low has fueled expectations of intervention by the Japanese authorities to stem the currency's weakness.

The euro was up 0.06 percent at $1.0708.

Worries about the outcome of the two-stage French parliamentary elections that start on Sunday pushed the risk premium on French government bonds over German bonds to its widest since the euro zone debt crisis in 2012.

In Treasuries, the yield on benchmark US 10-year notes rose 4.3 basis points to 4.331 percent, from 4.288 percent late on Thursday.

US crude lost 0.48 percent to $81.35 a barrel while Brent was flat at $86.39 per barrel.

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