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Japan's household spending, real wages extend COVID-driven declines

A year-on-year decline in the household spending in August would mark the 11th straight of falls, the longest period of contraction since a 15-month stretch to May 2017.

Kaori Kaneko (Reuters)
Tokyo, Japan
Fri, October 9, 2020

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Japan's household spending, real wages extend COVID-driven declines People wearing face masks take pictures in front of the new section of Tokyo Disneyland with the theme of film 'Beauty and the Beast' which is set to open on September 28, in Urayasu near Tokyo on September 25, 2020. (STR/Jiji Press/AFP/File)

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apan’s household spending fell for an 11th straight month in August and real wages marked half a year of declines, as consumers struggled to return to their pre-pandemic purchasing habits.

Analysts see the economy picking up from the slump caused by the coronavirus but weak spending and wage figures highlight the challenges new Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga faces as he works to revive the economy.

Household spending declined 6.9 percent in August from a year earlier, government data showed on Friday, matching a median forecast in a Reuters poll.

A year-on-year decline in the household spending in August would mark the 11th straight of falls, the longest period of contraction since a 15-month stretch to May 2017.

However, the pace of decline has slowed after hitting a record 16.2 percent in May, when people stayed at home to prevent the virus infection under the nationwide shutdown.

The government lifted the emergency measures in late May and business activity has gradually resumed.

Compared with the previous month, household spending rose 1.7 percent in August after a 6.5 percent decline in July.

“We expect the overall economy including consumer spending will pick up as the economic activity restarts,” said Yusuke Shimoda, senior economist at Japan Research Institute.

“But people remained cautious about risks to get the virus infection and wages are expected to worsen further, so the pace of recovery in consumer spending will likely be limited.”

Separate data on Friday showed the nation’s inflation-adjusted real wages fell 1.4 percent in August from a year earlier, down for the sixth straight month, reflecting a big drop in overtime.

The economy tumbled deeper into recession in the June quarter as the coronavirus jolted global demand and analysts say it will take time for pre-pandemic levels of activity to return.

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