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Philippines Q1 GDP contracts more than expected on prolonged lockdowns
Gross domestic product fell 4.2 percent in the March quarter from a year earlier, the statistics agency said on Tuesday, marking the fifth straight quarter of declines amid pandemic-induced lockdowns.
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A policeman (right) monitors people at the entrance to a neighbourhood under strict quarantine measures in Pasay City, suburban Manila, on March 16, 2021, as the number of new daily cases of Covid-19 coronavirus has surged to the highest level in seven months. (AFP/Ted Aljibe)
T
he Philippine economy shrank by more than expected in the first quarter of 2021, supporting views that the central bank will keep interest rates at a record-low at a policy meeting on Wednesday.
Gross domestic product fell 4.2 percent in the March quarter from a year earlier, the statistics agency said on Tuesday, marking the fifth straight quarter of declines amid pandemic-induced lockdowns.
Economists in a Reuters poll had expected the GDP to contract 3.0 percent after slumping 8.3 percent year-on-year in the previous quarter.
Among the major economic sectors, agriculture declined by 1.2 percent while services and industry contracted by 4.4 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively.
On the demand side, household consumption shrank 4.8 percent, but government spending grew 16.1 percent.
The economy's performance, however, improved on a sequential basis, growing 0.3 percent from the previous quarter on seasonally adjusted terms.
"The country's strong economic position before the pandemic and improving economic data in recent months point to an economy that is on the mend," Economic Planning Secretary Karl Chua said at a briefing.
The Southeast Asian country is battling one of Asia's worst coronavirus outbreaks with more than a million cases recorded and more than 18,000 deaths since last year.
The economy's extended slump is expected to prompt the central bank to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record low of 2.0 percent on Wednesday for a fourth consecutive meeting, according to all 13 economists in a Reuters poll.
Some economists even expect the BSP to keep rates unchanged for the rest of 2021, despite high inflation that has breached its 2 percent-4 percent target band mainly due to tight pork supply.
