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Asian stocks lose steam before US inflation test
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares eked a 0.10 percent gain on Thursday.
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A pedestrian walks past an electronic quotation board displaying the closing share prices of the Tokyo Stock Exchange in Tokyo on Feb. 7, 2022.
(AFP/Kazuhiro Nogi)
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tech-fuelled global stocks rally cooled in Asian trade on Thursday as investors took a more cautious posture amid uncertainties around the outlook for inflation and interest rates.
World bond yields, however, continued to ease from multi-year highs and the dollar trod water ahead of the closely watched United States (US) inflation report due later in the day that should offer new clues on the pace of US interest rate hikes.
Crude oil resumed its uptrend as a big drawdown in US inventories underscored the ongoing tightness in the market.
Japan's blue-chip Nikkei started the day almost 1 percent higher before beginning a steady slide that took it close to negative territory. It later rebounded to be 0.33 percent higher.
Meanwhile, Chinese blue chips sank 0.52 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng retreated 0.31 percent.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares eked a 0.10 percent gain.
"We don't know how many US rate hikes there are going to be this year, and I don't think the Fed knows either, and that's getting markets a little bit nervous, to say the least," said Kyle Rodda, a market analyst at IG Australia.
"Any kind of data surprise is going to inflame that nervousness, and that's leading to the choppiness that we're seeing in markets."
On Wednesday, Big Tech led Wall Street higher, with the Nasdaq surging 2.1 percent and the S&P 500 ending 1.45 percent higher.
US futures pointed lower though, indicating a 0.28 percent retreat for the Nasdaq and a 0.23 percent decline for the S&P .
Helping sentiment overnight was a fall in long-term bond yields. The 10-year US Treasury yield slipped back to 1.9285 percent in Tokyo on Thursday from a near record high peak on Tuesday. Its German counterpart retreated from a three-year high.
"It was a more positive session for global bonds, with European bond yields taking a breather from their seemingly relentless recent rise," Damien McColough, head of rates strategy at Westpac, wrote in a client note.
"Even so, global bond yields have entered a bear phase and investors are likely to demand a higher premium to invest given inflation and policy risks ... so we remain better tactical sellers."
A more hawkish tone from both the ECB and the Fed last week caught markets off guard, sending yields soaring.
Australia's 10-year benchmark yield slipped to 2.086 percent on Thursday from as high as 2.157 percent in the previous session, a near three-year peak.
Japan's benchmark yield held at a six-year peak of 0.215 percent amid speculation that more hawkish monetary tightening globally could force some action from the Bank of Japan.
ECB President Christine Lagarde last Thursday sent rate hike bets surging by not repeating that a 2022 rate rise was very unlikely, although subsequent comments from bank officials suggest a big tightening of monetary policy is not needed.
The Fed is broadly expected to begin raising rates at its March meeting although there is no clarity about the pace of tightening.
Money markets are certain of at least a quarter point Fed hike next month, and give 1-in-4 odds of a half point increase.
Data due later on Thursday is expected to show US consumer inflation racing at a 7 percent-plus annualized clip, a level reminiscent of the inflation shocks of the 1970s and 1980s.
Currencies were largely in a holding pattern ahead of that release, with the dollar index steady at 95.581 after bouncing off a two-week low of 95.136 on Friday.
One euro bought $1.14175, and the yen traded at 115.49 per dollar.
The combination of a soft dollar and lower bond yields put some shine on gold, which held close to a two-week high, last changing hands at around $1,834 an ounce.
US West Texas Intermediate futures added 15 cents to $89.81 a barrel, while Brent crude futures were steady at $91.53 a barrel.
