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Hong Kong, Shanghai lead market losses as China rate cut falls flat

AFP
Hong Kong, China
Tue, June 20, 2023

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Hong Kong, Shanghai lead market losses as China rate cut falls flat People walk past an electronic sign showing stock prices in Hong Kong, China, on March 1, 2023. (AFP/Isaac Lawrence)

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tocks in Hong Kong and Shanghai led equity losses Tuesday as a smaller-than-forecast interest rate cut by China's central bank added to worries about the lack of action to kickstart the country's lumbering economic recovery.

The optimism that fed last week's rally across world markets appears to be fading as traders are left disappointed by Beijing's efforts to act, even as growth slows and weakness persists.

The People's Bank of China reduced its benchmark five-year rate -- used to price mortgages -- by 10 basis points, less than the 15 points expected, though it did meet forecasts for a 15-point reduction in the one-year rate.

The move came after monetary policymakers last week lowered two other key rates and pumped billions into financial markets.

Stocks in Hong Kong dropped more than one percent, with tech firms -- which are susceptible to higher borrowing costs -- taking the brunt of the selling, while property companies also dropped. Shanghai was also in negative territory.

Robert Carnell, at ING, said that with the cuts being so small that "isn't going to do an awful lot to boost the struggling economy".

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"Even with further reductions, and we expect more of the same in the coming months, perhaps several iterations of cuts, it is not likely that we will see demand for property swing around strongly, construction will likely remain weak, and local governments will continue to feel the pinch from reduced land sales and tight finances."

Seoul, Singapore, Taipei, Mumbai, Bangkok, Manila and Jakarta all dropped, though Tokyo, Sydney and Wellington rose.

London, Paris and Frankfurt all opened on the back foot.

The retreat extended Monday losses that were fueled by frustration at the lack of detail from officials on measures to boost the economy, which has failed to recover since painful zero-COVID measures were removed at the end of last year.

There had been hope they would unveil help for the troubled property sector -- a crucial growth driver of GDP -- as well as consumer activity and youth unemployment.

Analysts said investors might have to wait for a key meeting headed by President Xi Jinping next month in Beijing for any major announcements.

But Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management warned that authorities' options were limited.

"Despite China's policy pipe dream, sky-high government leverage and constrained fiscal capacity make it virtually impossible for lawmakers to provide any meaningful policy stimulus that could help extend the growth cycle and revive confidence in the economy and asset markets," he said in a note.

"With no 'easy fix' on the horizon, the property market's weakness and its negative impact on the rest of the economy will likely persist."

China's decision to reduce rates contrasts with the United States and other Western countries, which have been forced into a series of interest rate hikes while reducing money supply to tame inflation.

"We have a very different story across the different regions as it relates to inflation, a post-COVID recovery and what that means from a monetary and fiscal perspective," Uma Moriarity, at Centersquare Investment Management, told Bloomberg Television.

Traders are also awaiting Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell's twice-yearly testimony to US lawmakers this week, looking for an idea about the state of the economy and officials' plans for rates.

The bank on Wednesday stood pat for the first time since starting its tightening campaign in March last year, citing a need to assess the impact of those moves. 

In company news, Alibaba said it will replace its top boss in a surprise move at the e-commerce titan as it looks to recover from years of slow growth. 

Chairman and CEO Daniel Zhang will be replaced by Joseph Tsai as chairman and Eddie Wu as CEO, the company said. Both appointments will take effect on September 10.

Its shares bounced on the news initially but soon fell back again.

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