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Rupiah hits record low amid central bank independence worries

The rupiah slid to Rp 16,985 per US dollar on Tuesday ahead of a policy decision by the central bank this week, where analysts expect the BI to stand pat on rates. The currency is down nearly 2 percent in January after dropping 3.5 percent in 2025.

Reuters
Jakarta
Tue, January 20, 2026 Published on Jan. 20, 2026 Published on 2026-01-20T10:23:46+07:00

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A teller holds a quantity of 100 United States dollar bills atop a bundle of Indonesian rupiah 100,000 banknotes on May 15, 2025, at a money changer in Jakarta. A teller holds a quantity of 100 United States dollar bills atop a bundle of Indonesian rupiah 100,000 banknotes on May 15, 2025, at a money changer in Jakarta. ( Antara/Muhammad Adimaja)

R

upiah hit a record low against the dollar on Tuesday as investors fretted about the country's central bank independence after President Prabowo Subianto nominated his nephew to join Bank Indonesia's Board of Governors.

The rupiah slid to Rp 16,985 per US dollar on Tuesday ahead of a policy decision by the central bank this week, where analysts expect the BI to stand pat on rates. The currency is down nearly 2 percent in January after dropping 3.5 percent in 2025.

Prabowo's nephew, Thomas Djiwandono, currently a deputy finance minister, is one of three nominees whose names have been submitted to parliament, presidential spokesperson Prasetyo Hadi told reporters on Monday.

Investors have worried that independent monetary policymaking in Southeast Asia's largest economy might be under pressure, as Prabowo targets economic growth of 8 percent by 2029 from about 5 percent now.

"There may have been speculation that because Thomas is going there, the [central bank's] independence is gone. I disagree," Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa said on Monday.

"Once they realise it's not the case, [the rupiah] will strengthen," he said, adding his ministry and BI will synchronise fiscal and monetary policies to spur economic growth.

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Foreign investors net sold roughly $6.4 billion worth of Indonesian government bonds in 2025, adding to the pressure on the currency as worries over Indonesia's widening fiscal deficit also hit sentiment.

At 2.92 percent of GDP, the 2025 budget deficit was the widest in at least two decades outside the pandemic years and close to the statutory cap of 3 percent of GDP.

Daniel Tan, portfolio manager at Grasshopper Asset Management, said the rupiah has slid to a record low as concerns over the central bank's autonomy add to persistent fiscal deficit issues.

"The nomination [of Prabowo's nephew] added to existing concerns that Indonesia's budget deficit cap could be raised. The latest appointment caused more doubts over BI's independence."

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