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Oil climbs on Gulf clashes as AI drives stocks to weekly rise

Tom Westbrook (Reuters)
Singapore
Fri, May 8, 2026 Published on May. 8, 2026 Published on 2026-05-08T13:23:17+07:00

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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on March 25, 2026 in New York City. Stocks rose at the opening with reports of the U.S. giving Iran a plan to bring the conflict to an end that sent crude prices tumbling, with the Dow Jones leading the way opening with a gain of over 500 points.  Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on March 25, 2026 in New York City. Stocks rose at the opening with reports of the U.S. giving Iran a plan to bring the conflict to an end that sent crude prices tumbling, with the Dow Jones leading the way opening with a gain of over 500 points. (Getty Images/AFP/Michael M. Santiago)

O

il prices rose and stocks slipped as the US and Iran exchanged fire in the Middle East, though many markets in Asia were still heading for stellar weekly gains as AI demand swept up chipmakers.

Benchmark Brent crude futures were up about 1 percent to US$101 a barrel in the Asia day, while European stock futures were down 0.8 percent. FTSE futures fell 0.7 percent, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.3 percent.

Traders had a wary eye on Labour Party losses in British elections, which could pressure Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, though sterling stayed steady at $1.3575.

The United States and Iran clashed in the Gulf and the UAE came under renewed attack in a test of a month-long ceasefire, but the warring parties downplayed the situation to leave investors hopeful of a resolution.

"The focus has still been on the strength of the earnings coming out of the US," said Kerry Craig, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

He said markets were also encouraged by efforts from both camps to reach a temporary deal to allow traffic through the Strait of Hormuz while they discuss a fuller peace settlement.

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Stock markets in Asia, which have been soaring thanks to strong revenues and spending plans from the US AI hyperscalers — which means rivers of gold for the region's chipmakers — slipped relatively slightly from record highs.

MSCI's broadest index of Asian shares outside Japan fell 0.9 percent, with South Korea's KOSPI down just 0.1 percent and set for a weekly gain of more than 13 percent — the largest since 2008 — on the back of a surge in Samsung and SK Hynix.

Taiwan's benchmark is up 7 percent this week and Japan's Nikkei rose 5.2 percent.

Currency markets were broadly steady with the dollar recovering from recent lows and the yen in focus. Japan intervened in the foreign exchange market during holidays in early May to stave off further falls in the battered currency, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters.

The euro bought $1.1736, the Aussie $0.7221 and the yen was at 156.8 per dollar, having struggled to sustain gains beyond 155 after surges on suspected intervention to the tune of nearly $70 billion since last Thursday.

China's yuan, Asia's best-performing currency since the war broke out, is on the cusp of strengthening past 6.8 to the dollar and sits near its strongest since 2023.

US jobs and UK elections in focus

Investors are awaiting the US non-farm payrolls report on Friday, with jobs expected to have increased in April by 62,000 after rebounding 178,000 in March, a Reuters survey of economists shows.

Local government elections across Britain are also in the frame. Poor results for the ruling Labour Party are expected and if that puts Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership in doubt, investors worry that the gilt market could be under pressure.

"Gilts are already under scrutiny due to inflation risks, and adding political uncertainty to the mix could further push [global] investors to look elsewhere," said ING analysts.

A US trade court ruled Trump's latest 10 percent temporary global duties are unjustified under a 1970s trade law. But analysts expect a swift appeal and little overall impact to US levies.

Treasury yields had tracked crude prices higher through Thursday as traders worried about inflation, but did not move much more on Friday with the benchmark 10-year yield at 4.39 percent.

Australian 10-year yields jumped six basis points to 4.99 percent. Bitcoin was drifting towards a sixth weekly gain in a row at $79,680.

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