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View all search resultsThe rupiah’s depreciation has raised the costs for Indonesia’s National Strategic Projects, with contractors warning of squeezed margins, cash flow strain and potential construction delays for import-heavy infrastructure works.
Rather than attempt to downplay the rupiah's slide through well-meaning but ultimately misleading political statements that inevitably dismiss the plight of rural communities, realpolitik based on honesty backed by data is the best policy approach.
Beyond negative sentiment related to warning from global index compiler MSCI, global investors have also become more sensitive to concerns surrounding Indonesia’s fiscal resilience, particularly amid rising global energy prices.
The rupiah recently plunged to an all-time low of Rp 17,514 per United States dollar, and pressure on the currency may intensify in the second quarter as Indonesia faces a convergence of external and domestic challenges. Maturing government debt, dividend repatriation by foreign investors and soaring oil prices are tightening dollar liquidity, while the latest MSCI Indonesia rebalancing threatens further capital outflows.
In a House or Representatives hearing on Monday, Bank Indonesia (BI) Governor Perry Warjiyo said “we believe” the rupiah will end up averaging around Rp 16,800 per United States dollar, within the Rp 16,500 to Rp 16,900 target range set in the 2026 state budget.
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