TheJakartaPost

Please Update your browser

Your browser is out of date, and may not be compatible with our website. A list of the most popular web browsers can be found below.
Just click on the icons to get to the download page.

Jakarta Post

Budget, debt: Trump's Treasury chief faces urgent challenges

If confirmed, hedge fund manager Scott Bessent, who was named by Trump on Friday, will have to usher through promised tax cuts, advise on an agenda promising sweeping tariffs and confront the world's biggest economy's ballooning debt.

Beiyi Seow (AFP)
Washington
Sun, November 24, 2024

Change text size

Gift Premium Articles
to Anyone

Share the best of The Jakarta Post with friends, family, or colleagues. As a subscriber, you can gift 3 to 5 articles each month that anyone can read—no subscription needed!
Budget, debt: Trump's Treasury chief faces urgent challenges A clerk poses with US dollar banknotes at a money changer in Jakarta on May 2, 2024. (AFP/Adek Berry)

P

resident-elect Donald Trump's new Treasury chief needs to hit the ground running once he takes office, tasked with rolling out his boss's economic vision and grappling with the country's debt limit.

If confirmed, hedge fund manager Scott Bessent, who was named by Trump on Friday, will have to usher through promised tax cuts, advise on an agenda promising sweeping tariffs, and confront the world's biggest economy's ballooning debt.

What immediate issues will he face?

Economic agenda

One pressing concern for Bessent will be "how to navigate a desire for more protectionism while avoiding a global trade war," EY chief economist Gregory Daco told AFP.

Trump has vowed across-the-board tariffs of at least 10 percent on all imports and steeper levies on China, although it remains to be seen how he will do so.

Prospects

Every Monday

With exclusive interviews and in-depth coverage of the region's most pressing business issues, "Prospects" is the go-to source for staying ahead of the curve in Indonesia's rapidly evolving business landscape.

By registering, you agree with The Jakarta Post's

Thank You

for signing up our newsletter!

Please check your email for your newsletter subscription.

View More Newsletter

His Treasury secretary would likely have to ensure that trade policies "allow for a negotiation between trading partners without doing excessive damage to the economy, sparking inflationary pressures," Daco said.

A key question is whether the candidate proves to be a "cheerleader and defender" of Trump's tariffs or a "moderating force" compared to more aggressive proponents, said David Wessel, a senior fellow in economic studies at Brookings.

Debt ceiling

The Treasury will also have to ensure the country keeps paying its bills amid talks to raise the debt ceiling.

The lifting of the debt ceiling, a limit on government borrowing to pay for bills already incurred, has in recent years became a contentious partisan issue.

The limit suspension technically expires in January and outgoing Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will likely make initial moves to avoid defaulting on the country's obligations.

The new administration will have to continue such measures.

With Republicans having control in the White House and Congress, analysts expect the debt ceiling will be raised.

But some lawmakers may want concessions for doing so, and the Treasury chief will be important in negotiating the tradeoffs, Wessel said.

"This will be the first time in the modern history of the debt limit that there will be a change in administration during a debt limit episode," said Shai Akabas, executive director at the Bipartisan Policy Center's economic policy program.

Tax cuts

Trump's budget, to be presented in early 2025, will likely be his government's starting point when it comes to tax relief and spending cuts, Wessel noted.

With economic dissatisfaction being a key factor in the election outcome, tax cut extensions are set to be high among the Treasury secretary's priorities.

But the challenge is rolling out policies while maintaining the United States economy on a sustainable debt trajectory.

"It's going to be a very delicate job," said Daco. "Everything and anything on the menu has been ordered during the campaign."

These include tax cuts for households and businesses, alongside a reduction in taxes on tips, or potentially greater spending on energy.

Interest costs

By the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget's estimates, however, Trump's agenda could add around $8 trillion to the national debt.

"Debt held by the public now stands at $28.6 trillion, or nearly 100 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), and it is growing at an unsustainable rate," said Akabas.

"If we don't find a way to stop digging, the Treasury secretary may have to confront the debt burden's pernicious consequences," he added.

These could mean higher interest rates on US debt or elevated rates for consumer debt.

The country could also face credit rating agency downgrades or financial market reactions, he said.

"This could erode global faith in the US as an economic leader and adversely affect our future growth," he added.

Your Opinion Matters

Share your experiences, suggestions, and any issues you've encountered on The Jakarta Post. We're here to listen.

Enter at least 30 characters
0 / 30

Thank You

Thank you for sharing your thoughts. We appreciate your feedback.

Share options

Quickly share this news with your network—keep everyone informed with just a single click!

Change text size options

Customize your reading experience by adjusting the text size to small, medium, or large—find what’s most comfortable for you.

Gift Premium Articles
to Anyone

Share the best of The Jakarta Post with friends, family, or colleagues. As a subscriber, you can gift 3 to 5 articles each month that anyone can read—no subscription needed!