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Latest poll projects Prabowo gaining majority votes in presidential election
Of the 1,200 people surveyed by Indikator Politik Indonesia between Jan. 28 and Feb 4, 51.8 percent said they would vote for Prabowo's ticket, while 24.1 percent and 19.6 percent would choose rivals Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo respectively.
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(From left to right) Presidential candidate Anies Baswedan and his running mate Muhaimin Iskandar; presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto and running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka and presidential candidate Ganjar Pranowo and running mate Mahfud MD stand on stage after the final 2024 election debate at Jakarta Convention Center (JCC) in Jakarta on Feb. 4, 2024. (Antara/Aditya Pradana Putra)
Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto is projected to pip the 50 percent threshold needed to win the Feb. 14 election in a single round, the latest opinion poll showed on Friday.
Of the 1,200 people surveyed by Indikator Politik Indonesia between Jan. 28 and Feb 4, 51.8 percent said they would vote for Prabowo's ticket, while 24.1 percent and 19.6 percent would choose rivals Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo respectively.
This election marks the third presidential run for Prabowo, a controversial ex-soldier who was defeated by the popular outgoing President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo in 2014 and 2019. About 205 million people are registered to vote.
While most of Indonesia's most watched surveys have consistently showed Prabowo with a solid lead over rivals, Friday's poll is the first in which he is projected to get more than 50 percent of votes.
A run-off will be held in June if no candidate gets more than 50 percent of votes.
"Conservatively, there is a chance of a run-off. But given the 51.8 percent and the upward trend for Prabowo's ticket, I can say the probability of one round has risen...compared to previous surveys," said Indikator researcher Burhanuddin Muhtadi.
He said the chances of a second round vote were "thinning".
