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Surveys punctuate period of calm before voting storm

Presidential hopeful Prabowo Subianto remains the man to beat according to the latest poll results posted at the weekend, as the country entered a brief cooling period before it begins hosting one of the biggest elections on Wednesday amid concerns of fraud and fraught logistics.
 

Dio Suhenda (The Jakarta Post)
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Jakarta
Sun, February 11, 2024

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Surveys punctuate period of calm before voting storm Jakarta city workers remove election campaign banners in Menteng, Jakarta, on Feb. 11, 2024. The Jakarta administration has deployed joint personnel to remove campaign banners during the silent period for the 2024 general election between Feb. 11 and 13 ahead of the voting day. (Antara/Sulthony Hasanuddin)
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Presidential hopeful Prabowo Subianto remains the man to beat according to the latest poll results posted at the weekend, as the country entered a brief cooling period before it begins hosting one of the world’s biggest elections on Wednesday amid concerns of fraud and fraught logistics.

The defense minister and his running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka retained a vast lead over closest rivals Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar with 51.9 percent to 23.3 percent, according to a Lembaga Survei Indonesia (LSI) survey released on Saturday.

The Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD ticket placed third with 20.3 percent in a simulation of the Feb. 14 election involving 1,220 voting-age respondents between Jan. 29 and Feb. 5.

While the LSI’s findings suggest that a one-round victory is within Prabowo’s reach, the survey, which interviewed 1,220 voting-age respondents between Jan. 29 and Feb. 5, also had a margin of error of 2.9 percent.

LSI executive director Djayadi Hanan insisted on Saturday that “this is just a survey”.

Another pollster, Indikator Politik Indonesia, painted a similar picture of the contest a day earlier, projecting that the Prabowo-Gibran pair could pass the one-round threshold with 51.8 percent of votes, followed by the Anies (24.1 percent) and Ganjar (19.6) camps.

The Indikator survey also involved some 1,200 voting-age respondents and a margin of error of 2.9 percent.

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