TheJakartaPost
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Bank Indonesia's monthly CCI improved slightly in July to indicate a more positive outlook among consumers, indicating that household spending could drive growth in the second half, though at least one economist has advised keeping an eye on the jobs figure and savings ratio for the medium term.
Economists from multiple research organizations have urged Statistics Indonesia (BPS) to reveal the calculation behind the recently released gross domestic product (GDP) data after growth far exceeded projections.
China's economy is expected to have expanded more than five percent in the second quarter thanks to strong exports, analysts say, but they warned Donald Trump's trade war could cause a sharp slowdown in the final six months.
Bank Mandiri projects that Indonesia’s gross domestic product growth will grow to 4.93 percent year-on-year (yoy) this year, while Bank Permata forecasts 4.78 percent. Both mark a slower pace from 5.02 percent last year.
Given a recent decline in Indonesia’s economic growth and unfavorable global circumstances, pushing gross domestic product (GDP) growth toward the targeted 8 percent rate could lead to imprudent fiscal spending, a think tank has warned.
