A recent survey of Jakarta residents has found former Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan still in the lead over Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo in the presidential race, but by a lower margin. Gerindra Party chairman Prabowo Subianto, whose electability has increased since July 2022 remains in distant third.
The Indikator Politik Indonesia survey was conducted from Feb. 24 to March 3 involving 820 respondents from Jakarta with a 3.5 percent margin of error. In a three-horse race simulation, 42.4 percent of respondents opted for Anies, who has the backing of the NasDem Party, the Democratic Party and the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS).
Meanwhile, 33.2 percent plumped for Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo of the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), who is also backed by the United Development Party (PPP), while only 16.6 percent went for Defense Minister Prabowo of the Gerindra Party. These findings contrasted that of a recent national survey by Indikator that pegged Ganjar in the lead with 34 percent, with Prabowo trailing closely behind, while Anies was further behind in third.
Anies’ electability in the Jakarta survey decreased by 3.5 percentage points from 45.9 percent in July of last year, when he was still the Jakarta governor, while Ganjar’s was down by 1.1 percentage points and Prabowo’s rose by 4.7 percentage points.
Read also: Prabowo beats Ganjar, Anies in presidential runoff: LSI survey
With Gerindra itself making a decent showing in the legislative survey with 15.8 percent electability behind the first-placed PDI-P with 23.9 percent, Gerindra lawmaker from the Jakarta electoral district, Habiburokhman, admitted to being baffled by Prabowo’s relatively low share of the vote.
“Based on our experience, Gerindra is perceived as synonymous with Prabowo, and we legislative candidates from Gerindra have always relied on Prabowo’s name to win elections," Habiburokhman said on Thursday. “Especially when we consider that East Jakarta has a lot of military constituents who represent Prabowo’s traditional supporters."
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