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Indonesia terrorism risk ‘fairly low’ after Taliban victory: IPAC
The Jakarta-based think tank has concluded that the risk of terrorist attacks by Al-Qaeda in Southeast Asia is fairly low, at least in the short term, while noting that remnants of the dismantled Islamic State (IS) group could pose a greater threat.
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Armed Afghan men supporting Afghan security forces against the Taliban stand with their weapons and Humvee vehicles in Bazarak, Panjshir province, Afghanistan, on Aug. 19. (AFP/Ahmed Sahel Arman)
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recent report by the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC) has found that the risk of terror attacks in Indonesia – and Southeast Asia more broadly – after the recent Taliban victory in Afghanistan is “fairly low” but still cause for concern.
The Jakarta-based think tank concluded in its latest assessment that terrorist attacks by Al-Qaeda in the region were unlikely, at least in the short term, while noting that remnants of the dismantled Islamic State (IS) group could pose a greater threat.
Al-Qaeda, a militant multinational terrorist network operating out of Afghanistan, was responsible for the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks in the United States under the leadership of Osama bin Laden.
IS, meanwhile, is a rival group to Al-Qaeda that emerged in the wake of the 2003 US invasion of Iraq and gained global prominence in 2014 after driving security forces out of Western Iraq in a campaign to set up a caliphate.
IPAC’s report noted that as of this year, 40 schools affiliated with Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) remained. The group was responsible for the 2002 Bali bombings and several other major terror attacks in Indonesia in the 2000s.
Students of these schools who pass the recruitment process are poised to become fighters and eventually join JI’s military training program.
But while the group was still actively recruiting, IPAC researchers said, JI had shown little interest in attacks, although it remained committed to military training for its members.
