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Cheap drones redefine energy security risks

Lessons from the battlefields of Ukraine, Russia and the Middle East have shown how unmanned aircraft can evade traditional air defenses, turning oil refineries, power stations, export terminals and pipelines into prime targets.

Ron Bousso (The Jakarta Post)
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Reuters/London
Wed, July 15, 2026 Published on Jul. 14, 2026 Published on 2026-07-14T11:51:32+07:00

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A woman walks on Feb. 1, 2026, past a mural depicting a United States drone painted on the outer walls of the former US Embassy in Tehran, colloquially referred to as the “Spy Den”. A woman walks on Feb. 1, 2026, past a mural depicting a United States drone painted on the outer walls of the former US Embassy in Tehran, colloquially referred to as the “Spy Den”. (AFP/Atta Kenare)

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heap, mass-produced drones have transformed modern warfare, exposing critical energy infrastructure as an Achilles' heel for modern economies.

Lessons from the battlefields of Ukraine, Russia and the Middle East have shown how unmanned aircraft can evade traditional air defenses, turning oil refineries, power stations, export terminals and pipelines into prime targets.

The implications for the energy industry are profound. Facilities that took decades and billions of dollars to build can now be threatened by swarms of drones costing a few hundred to a few thousand dollars apiece, dramatically shifting the balance between attacker and defender.

Iran has provided one of the clearest demonstrations of this new reality.

Since its conflict with the United States and Israel began Feb. 28, Tehran has repeatedly used drones to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The narrow waterway carried around a fifth of global oil and gas supplies before the war, and the attacks have upended a decades-old assumption that it could not be blocked without a heavy naval presence.

The threat has forced Gulf producers to revive long-standing plans to reduce their dependence on Hormuz. Across the Gulf, governments are scrambling to build thousands of kilometers of pipelines to allow crude oil and gas exports to bypass the strait.

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Yet every kilometer of new pipeline, pumping station or power substation creates another potential target for increasingly sophisticated drone attacks. Indeed, Iran has already struck dozens of refineries, liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants and power stations across the region, while also showing that it can rapidly manufacture new drones, even under wartime conditions.

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