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COVID-19: A game of Snakes and Ladders?

Seeing that the infection fatality rate (IFR) for COVID-19 is low and the recovery rate is very high, is it time that we should not worry too much about COVID-19?

Veeramalla Anjaiah (The Jakarta Post)
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Jakarta
Thu, July 16, 2020

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As of July 14, it has been 227 days since SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, first appeared in Wuhan, China.

The disease might be spreading rapidly all over the world now than ever before. There is a new trend related to COVID-19 that got my attention.

The global total of confirmed cases as of July 14 is 13,445,145 cases with 580,229 deaths, but the number of deaths per day has been relatively stable compared to new cases. The death rate has averaged around 2,500 deaths per day since Dec. 1, 2019.

This is very good news, as it means that, surprisingly, the infection fatality rate (IFR) has been less than 5 percent so far.

Another surprising news is that around 59 percent of infected people have recovered from the disease. In some cases, however, people might risk reinfection if they are not careful.

According to WorldoMeter, out of 13.44 million cases, 7,831,145 people have recovered from the disease, while 5,033,771 people are still being treated at hospitals.

In Indonesia, for example, we had 78,572 confirmed cases and 3,710 deaths on Tuesday. Out of this number, 37,226 people are still sick but 37,636 people have recovered, a remarkable sign: more people have recovered from the disease than people who are suffering from the disease.

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