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View all search resultsThese disasters underscore that Indonesia’s ecological, political and institutional systems are no longer adequate for the climate realities of today.
he devastating floods and landslides that recently swept across West Sumatra, North Sumatra and Aceh have left behind more than flooded homes, broken roads and grieving families. They can no longer be dismissed as seasonal tragedies or the inevitable outcome of extreme rainfall.
The scale and speed of destruction reveal a deeper structural failure in how Indonesia manages its landscapes and governs its climate risks. These disasters underscore that Indonesia’s ecological, political and institutional systems are no longer adequate for the climate realities of today.
Sumatra has always been geographically fragile. The Bukit Barisan mountain range, stretching 1,700 kilometers from Aceh to Lampung, is defined by steep slopes, erodible volcanic soils and short, fast-flowing rivers that fall sharply from upland forests to dense lowlands. In such terrain, even moderate rainfall can trigger slope failures or cause rivers to swell abruptly, demanding disciplined watershed management and land-use decisions.
Yet, the region is increasingly unable to absorb what it once handled with relative resilience. Floods and landslides today are no longer proportionate to rainfall. They travel faster, destroy more and recur with alarming frequency.
Climate change intensifies this pressure. Indonesia’s meteorological observations increasingly mirror global scientific projections, including those of the IPCC: Extreme rainfall events are becoming more frequent and intense, while anomalous seasonal shifts are becoming the “new normal”.
But climate change is just an amplifier, not the architect, of catastrophe. The decisive factor, the reason why storms that once caused manageable flooding now trigger deadly flash floods and widespread landslides, lies in long-term human actions. It is shaped by the way land is managed, by the condition of forests and watersheds, and by the institutions responsible for protecting them.
In other words, meteorology, interacting with geography, may provide the hazard, but governance determines whether it becomes a catastrophe. Although torrential rainfall may trigger disasters, the underlying vulnerabilities stem from long-standing policy failures at both national and regional levels.
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