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View all search resultsOil prices spiked and stocks sank on Thursday after Donald Trump reiterated that US forces would hammer Iran for another two to three weeks but offered no solution to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz that has crippled global markets.
Initially, the government budgeted Rp 381.3 trillion (US$22.5 billion) to pay for energy subsidies and also compensate state energy firm Pertamina and utility company PLN for their efforts to keep some fuel prices and electricity tariffs at an affordable level.
The reputational damage to the Middle East due to the Iran war may spur oil majors and the industry as a whole to realign their investment focus, though a shift to potentially higher-risk regions will lead to an inevitable rise in energy prices.
Indonesia’s fiscal resilience is facing a high-stakes stress test as rising global oil prices collide with rigid domestic spending. While a crisis is not yet inevitable, the narrowing gap between political commitments and economic reality suggests the window for decisive action is closing.
While Indonesia faced a similar situation in 2022, the ongoing Iran war represents a different dynamic that will require critical policies that balance fiscal stability and purchasing power toward maintaining resilience.
Shifting from fuels to electricity for powering households and transportation is a logical response to Indonesia’s dependence on energy imports amid the Mideast crisis, but experts say the success of electrification hinges on sustained policy support.
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