The most recent opinion poll, which focuses on the 2024 electoral outlook of young voters, has revealed that social media darlings and governors Ganjar Pranowo of Central Java and Anies Baswedan of Jakarta are young voters’ firm favorite presidential hopefuls – edging out Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto in a three-horse race.
The survey, released by the Center for Strategic International Studies (CSIS) on Monday, polled close to 1,200 young voters aged 17 to 39 – otherwise known as members of Gen Z and millennials – from Aug. 8 to 13, and had a margin of error of 2.84 percent with a 95 percent confidence level.
It showed that Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) politician Ganjar, Gerindra Party chair Prabowo and outgoing governor Anies, who still has no political party, would be the top-three choices of young voters if the 2024 presidential race was held today against 11 other hopefuls.
But, should the election be contested only by the three most popular prospective candidates, one-third of respondents would pick Ganjar, while Anies came in second with an electability rating of 27.5 percent and Prabowo in last place with 25.7 percent.
This stands in contrast to other electability polls that did not focus on young voters, including an August poll by pollster Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) and a September poll by the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI). Both surveys found that Prabowo would come in second place, behind Ganjar, while usually Anies occupied the last position in a three-horse race.
Read also: Ganjar’s 2024 electability rating continues to climb, polls show
Arya Fernandes, head of the CSIS’ department of politics, said that young voters tended to favor Anies over Prabowo because they believed that the Jakarta governor would be able to bring something new as a president, compared with veteran Prabowo.
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