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Extreme weather looms over Idul Fitri holiday

The weather agency has warned of torrential rains and heightened disaster risks ahead of Idul Fitri lasting until late March, particularly in West Java and Central Java, two provinces expected to see the largest mobility during the extended holiday.

Gembong Hanung (The Jakarta Post)
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Wed, March 4, 2026 Published on Mar. 4, 2026 Published on 2026-03-04T12:13:44+07:00

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People arrive to catch free buses provided by the government to their home towns on March 29, 2025, ahead of last year's Idul Fitri, marking the end of the Islamic fasting month of Ramadan in Surabaya, East Java. People arrive to catch free buses provided by the government to their home towns on March 29, 2025, ahead of last year's Idul Fitri, marking the end of the Islamic fasting month of Ramadan in Surabaya, East Java. (AFP/Juni Kriswanto)

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uthorities have warned of extreme weather and heightened disaster risks ahead of Idul Fitri, particularly in West Java and Central Java, two provinces expected to see the highest number of travelers during the extended holiday.

Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) head Teuku Faisal Fathani said that moderate rainfall intensity would likely dominate the climate over the coming weeks, including when the mudik (exodus) season begins.

“The BMKG will continue to analyze and monitor atmospheric conditions, as well as keep delivering timely early weather warnings to ensure public safety throughout the upcoming travel season,” he said in a meeting with several state agencies on Monday.

Muslim-majority Indonesia will celebrate Idul Fitri in the second half of March, a period when millions will travel to their hometowns.

The Transportation Ministry estimates that this year’s travelers would reach 143.9 million people, down 2 million from last year’s figure.

Nearly 31 million holiday-makers will leave West Java, with Central Java becoming the top destination with 38 million travelers set to come to the province.

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Rain with “very high” intensity is expected in these two provinces during the holiday period, according to the weather agency. Such a level means that the rainwater volume may reach between 100 and 150 millimeters per day, or one level below the threshold of extreme rain set by the agency.

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