'Results of a survey on the electability of political parties conducted in March this year indicated that Golkar would obtain 21.9 percent of the vote and the PDI-P 21.1 percent,' LSI researcher Adjie Alfaraby said on Wednesday as quoted by Antara.

If the number of votes obtained by the two parties was only slightly different, according to the LSI, Golkar would have a chance of winning more legislative seats than the PDI-P. This was due to the fact that votes for Golkar were more widely distributed, especially outside Java, while votes for the PDI-P would be concentrated in Java.

The LSI also predicted that it was likely that other parties would find it difficult to compete with Golkar and PDI-P in winning votes. This can be seen from the number of votes other parties gained in the survey, in which Gerindra ranked third with only 11.1 percent of the vote, followed by the Democratic Party with 7.6 percent.

Meanwhile, the National Awakening Party (PKB) ranked fifth with 5.9 percent, followed by Hanura (4.5 percent), Nasdem (4.3 percent), the United Development Party (PPP, 3.4 percent); the National Mandate Party (PAN, 3 percent); the Crescent Star Party (PBB, 0.9 percent) and the Indonesian Justice and Unity Party (PKPI, 0.5 percent).

With such results, the LSI predicts that only 10 parties will be represented in the legislature. They are the Democratic Party, Gerindra, Golkar, Hanura, Nasdem, PAN, the PDI-P, the PKB, the PKS and the PPP.

'Although in the survey their electability was under 3.5 percent, PAN and PPP still have a chance to pass the legislative threshold,' said Adjie. (ebf)

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